9:30pm
Overview
There is a low pressure system over the Ohio River valley with a warm front stretched to the Mid- Atlantic coastline and a cold front stretched West, into the Central Plains. A broad ridge of high pressure is bringing sunshine & pleasant conditions to much of the Midwest, Great Lakes region & Northern Plains. Another low pressure system is developing on the lee side of the Rockies, over Montana. This will be our next weather maker for Western & Central ND.
Discussion
Today we saw sunny skies with only a few clouds moving through our area. Overnight, a warm front will move through the Dakotas, bringing a chance for scattered showers & thunderstorms. A couple of tonight's cells may produce some hail, but widespread severe weather is not expected. Friday, temperatures will climb (well above the seasonable norm) into the 90s for some and it will start to feel a little humid. There will be a chance for scattered showers & thunderstorms through the afternoon and overnight as a cold front moves through the area. The latest model guidance has moved the strongest storms north, before redeveloping to our East. Nevertheless, I am keeping a chance for scattered rain & storms in the planner for all of Western & Central North Dakota. There will be a slight risk for severe weather with this system.
This means that there will be a chance for strong, scattered thunderstorms. Short- lived and/or not widespread storms may become intense and 1 or 2 tornadoes will be possible. With storms that become severe, we can expect reports of strong wind damage. Hail around 1” will be possible with the occasional 2” stone not out of the question.
Showers & thunderstorms associated with this front could skip over much of our area. That being said, if anything does start to develop they may become strong & even severe quickly. After the cold front moves out of our area, it will get windy with some areas seeing strong winds that may be close to advisory criteria.
After this system moves out of our region, daily highs will fall to either side of 80 with more sunshine, and winds calming down by the beginning of the work week. Rain chances will return during the mid-week with temps beginning to climb, again.
Headlines include plenty of sunshine under a ridge of high pressure before more clouds roll in. Temperatures will be hot tomorrow and we will see rising rain chances, Friday. Our next cold front will bring a risk for severe weather.
Through the rest of tonight & Friday
Skies will stay mostly clear with a light to moderate wind. Temperatures will fall to either side of 60 with a few showers & thunderstorms. Early tomorrow, we will begin to see more clouds rolling in with temperatures climbing through the 80s and well into the 90s for many of us. There will be a chance for showers & thunderstorms that may become severe, Friday afternoon & overnight.
7day planner
We will wrap the work week with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. It will be hot with some temps in the 90s and scattered rain& storms with a slight risk for severe weather Friday & into Saturday. Saturday & Sunday will bring strong winds. In the wake of a passing front, daily highs will fall to either side of 80 with more sunshine & winds calming down by the beginning of the work week. Rain chances will return during the mid-week with temps beginning to climb, again.
Tonight, we will see mostly clear skies with temps on either side of 60 and a light to moderate wind out of the SE, 5-15 mph.
Friday will bring with it more sunshine and some light cloud cover, early. It will become hot followed by more clouds and chances for scattered showers & thunderstorms. There will be a risk for severe weather with some of these storms. Highs will be in the 90s with a SE/South wind 5-15mph G20 and Heat Index values 95-100. 30% chance for rain.
Friday night, expect increasing clouds, rising chances for showers & thunderstorms and a slight risk for severe weather. Lows in the 60s southerly winds swinging around to the NW 5-15mph G20. Some of the thunderstorms may become severe. 30% chance for rain.
Saturday, we will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with some scattered rain & thunderstorms. In the wake of a passing front, winds will pick up with seasonable temps. Highs on either side of 80 with a NW/West wind 15-25mph G35.
Saturday night, expect fair to partly cloudy skies with a pleasant feel and continued breezy conditions. Lows near 60 with a West/NW wind 10-20mph G35.
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