9:00pm
Overview
There is a low pressure system over the Ohio River valley with an associated front bringing a risk for severe weather and possible flash flooding to affected areas. A ridge of high pressure over the Southwest US& Southern Plains is stretched into the Midwest. Another low pressure system and cold front is moving through the Northern Plains.
Discussion
Today, we saw plenty of sunshine and temperatures climbed well above average for this time of the year. It feels pleasant this evening and skies are mostly clear to partly cloudy with light winds, scattered rain& a few storms for parts of Southwest ND. Earlier, some severe storms moved through parts of Central & Eastern North Dakota. Temps topped out in the 80s & 90s for the most part. The warm spot on the map was Mobridge at 99. Buffalo & Hettinger both got up to 95 as well. Bismarck & Mandan reached 94 with a low of 60. In Dickinson, it was not as hot with a high of 90 and a low of 58.
A low pressure system and cold front is over the Northern Plains with another low developing on the lee side of the Rockies. A fairly active weather pattern is setting up for the Dakotas, this week. Tonight through early Tuesday, a slow moving system will move through North Dakota. A low pressure system that is over British Columbia will continue to develop and move toward our area. Because of this developing system, daily rain chances will pick back up for parts of the state.
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| In-house model run (4km RPM) showing rain & storms early Tuesday |
Showers & thunderstorms will be off/on through Thursday night. The highest chances for widespread rain will be Wednesday and Thursday. This means that much needed rainfall will be on the way. The good news is the risk for strong thunderstorms and severe weather lower during this time because of a front that will stall out to our South. The set up this week will lead to off/on chances for showers & thunderstorms, cooler temperatures, and winds becoming breezy at times. It looks like rain chances will dry up a little by Friday. However, another system may move into our area as we go into the weekend.
Short-term headlines include a slightly active weather pattern. Clouds will come and go through the next couple of days with scattered showers & thunderstorms. Temperatures will be slightly cooler than what we saw today, with higher rain chances.
Through the rest of tonight & Tuesday
Tonight, we will see in & out clouds with scattered showers for some and more thunderstorm activity developing after Midnight. Scattered rain & storms will move through parts of our area during the morning hours. Later in the day we will see clearing skies, more sunshine and warm temperatures. Lows will be on either side of 60 with wind calming down as they swing around to the NW & North. Tomorrow, temperatures will not be as hot & top out in the 80s with a light to moderate wind out of the North/NW.
7day planner
The next couple of days will not be as hot and showers & thunderstorms will become a little more widespread by Wednesday & Thursday. By the mid week, our risk for severe weather will not be as high. Through the rest of the work week, rain chances will start to wrap up, Thursday night. As we close out the work week and go into the weekend, expect more sunshine with temps climbing through the 80s & short-lived lower rain chances.
Tonight, expect fair to partly cloudy skies with scattered rain tapering off and a low risk for severe weather. Lows will be on either side of 60 with a NW/N wind 5-15mph, before wind speeds begin to taper off. 30% chance for rain.
Tuesday, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with in & out cover and scattered showers & thunderstorms possible. Highs will be in the 80s with a North/NW wind 2-12mph. 40% chance for rain.
Tuesday night, fair to partly cloudy skies with a pleasant feel and light winds. Lows in the 50s with a few 60s and a NE/SW wind 1-8mph.
Wednesday, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with in& out clouds and a good chance for scattered showers & thunderstorms. Highs will be on either side of 80 with a SW/NE wind 2-12mph. 40% chance for rain.
Wednesday night, well bring continued rain chances. Showers& thunderstorms will be hit & miss before fizzling out. Lows will be in the 50s with an East wind 2-10mph G15.
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