Dakota Storm Center: Monday's Weather Blog

11:30pm

Overview

There is a low pressure system over the NE US & Great Lakes region. A cold front is stretched though the Midwest and into the Central Plains. Over the Southern Plains, a developing low will move through the lower- Mississippi River valley and SE US with a risk for severe weather. Closer to home there is a weak low over the Northern & Central plains that will move SE and into the Midwest & Mississippi River valley.

Discussion

A low pressure system will continue to move SE and out of the Dakotas. This low has been bringing scattered light snow to much of North Dakota, today. Little to no accumulation is expected. We will see tapering snow chances tonight with only a few flurries, after Midnight. Tuesday we will see in & out clouds and slightly warmer temps. Through Thursday, we will not see much movement in daytime highs. However, Wednesday & Wednesday night scattered light snow will move through our area. Less than one inch is expected for most of Western ND with 1"-2" possible for some.

In house model guidance (4km RPM) 48hr snowfall accumulation

Wednesday morning, we will begin to see rising chances for rain/mix. As this system moves further through the Dakotas, mix will become snow. Temperatures at the surface will be well above freezing through the day. This means that most of our area will see rain/mix until temps start to cool through the evening. Most of this system will move through our area while temps are too warm to support accumulating snow. By the time it cools down enough we will be on the down-hill side of the event with tapering snow chances and lingering flurries through Wednesday night. Some of the models are pointing to scattered mix on Thursday, before skies begin to clear. In the wake of passing system, it will become breezy Friday with plenty of sunshine through the weekend. By the end of the work week we will see mild temperatures return to the forecast with a relatively quiet weather pattern.

Through the rest of tonight & Tuesday

Expect cloudy skies with tapering snow chances and some clearing through the morning hours. Though we will see a little more cooling tonight, winds will be calming as well. Temperatures will stay in the teens with chills on either side of zero. Grab your coat on the way out the door tomorrow, but know that we will see some warming with temps climbing above freezing around Noon. Highs will range from the mid to upper 30s and into the lower 40s with increasing clouds late.

7day planner

The 7 day planner shows cool air mass over the area to start off our work week. Slightly warmer temps will return to the forecast and stay on either side of 40 during the next couple of days. This mid week system will be our next chance for scattered mix/snow, followed by temps warming through the 40s, into the 50s and well above the seasonable norm.

Tonight, expect cloudy skies with tapering snow chances after Midnight and some clearing. Lows will be in the teens with an East/North wind 2-12mph and chills near zero.

Tuesday, we will see partly to mostly cloudy skies with some clearing and slightly warmer temperatures. Highs 36-42 with a North/West wind 5-15mph and chills in the teens and 20s.

Tuesday night expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with in & out clouds and a cool feel. Lows will be in the 20s with a light to moderate wind swinging around to the East and chills in the teens.

Wednesday, expect mostly cloudy skies with another round of scattered light snow. Highs on either side of 40s with an East wind 5-15mph. 40% chance for light snow.

Wednesday night mostly cloudy skies with scattered light mix/snow. Lows in the 20s with a light to moderate wind out of the East and chills in the teens. 50% chance for mix/snow. 1"-2" of new snow possible.