Overview
A low pressure system just North of the Dakotas will continue to move East through southern Canada. This system has a cold front stretched South & SW. This front will continue to move through our area. Elsewhere, a ridge of high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and a second low is affecting the Great Lakes Region and NE U.S.
A low pressure system just North of the Dakotas will continue to move East through southern Canada. This system has a cold front stretched South & SW. This front will continue to move through our area. Elsewhere, a ridge of high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and a second low is affecting the Great Lakes Region and NE U.S.
Discussion
The low pressure system to our North affected our area today and will continue to impact the Dakotas through Thursday Morning. A secondary system is just west of this low. The second system will develop faster and bring a chance for accumulating snowfall to our area through the day on Friday. Most of Western North Dakota will continue to see rain, tonight. However. There will be a chance for a wintry mix/snow Thursday morning (north) due to a passing low pressure system that is forecast to be the weakest of three systems that will affect our area during the next 7days. Between these two systems we will see several changes starting tonight. So far today we have been in the warm sector of this low, assisting temperatures to climb well into an unseasonably warm range. Two records (Minot/Dickinson) were tied and many of us saw daytime highs near record breaking values. Needless to say, today was pleasantly warm. According to climatology, today was the 2nd warmest (12/9) on record and the warmest day (at BIS) in December since 1979 (December 4).
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| These are the 5 warmest years for December 9th |
This trend that we have been in will soon be over. Tomorrow temps begin to fall and it will once again be time to bring out the jackets. Though high temps are forecast to be in the 30s & 40s it will feel like temperatures are falling through the day, especially through the late afternoon, evening and night hours of Thursday. Highest rainfall totals (from Wednesday Night) will be NW & NC (Northwest & North-central) ND. In the wake of this system, post-frontal winds will pick up and become strong. There is a Wind Advisory in effect for those south & west of the Missouri River. The rest of our area will continue to see a moderate to strong that will be very gusty at times.
Friday, our second front approaches the area. This system will bring our next measurable snowfall. At this point, accumulations will range from 1-3 inches, mainly along & south of highway 2. This system will move into the SW corner of our state around Midnight Thursday night/ Friday morning and move East & NE into the midday hours of Friday. Through the afternoon & evening hours this system will dissipate and fizzle out from the West to the East. Through the end of our work-week, a blast of cold air will move into the area. Model guidance is being fickle for the beginning of next week. At this point, it looks like there is a possibility of fog developing in the wake of Friday's cold front that will leave some snow accumulation. Otherwise we will see some gradual warming until our next 3rd front approaches the Northern Plains. This third front will bring additional snow chances into the forecast.
Through the rest of tonight & Thursday
Temperatures will remain in an unseasonably warm range. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with a good chance for passing showers. As a low pressure system moves from the West to the East, across North Dakota rain chances will remain in the forecast through Thursday morning when a transition to a wintry mix/snow will affect parts of our area (North). Starting tonight wind speeds have been picking up as they swing around to the West. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the SW corner of our state (South & West of the Missouri River). Winds will become strong and gusty at times.
Tomorrow, strong winds will continue throughout the morning and midday hours. There will be a chance that early rain will transition to a wintry mix then snow before chances taper off. Otherwise we will see skies beginning to clear out as temperatures start to fall. Thursday night clouds will move back into the area.
Temperatures will remain in an unseasonably warm range. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with a good chance for passing showers. As a low pressure system moves from the West to the East, across North Dakota rain chances will remain in the forecast through Thursday morning when a transition to a wintry mix/snow will affect parts of our area (North). Starting tonight wind speeds have been picking up as they swing around to the West. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the SW corner of our state (South & West of the Missouri River). Winds will become strong and gusty at times.
Tomorrow, strong winds will continue throughout the morning and midday hours. There will be a chance that early rain will transition to a wintry mix then snow before chances taper off. Otherwise we will see skies beginning to clear out as temperatures start to fall. Thursday night clouds will move back into the area.
Through the rest of our work week, one front will move through the area tonight. This front will be weak with showers/mix/snow before chances taper off. Tomorrow winds will be strong and gusty with an advisory until 2pm. Friday will bring our next chance for accumulating snow with a cold front. Saturday & Sunday we will see more sun shining through the clouds with temperatures closer to where they should be for this time of the year. Monday night & Tuesday a third front will move through the Northern Plains bringing another chance for accumulating snow.
TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy skies with a chance for rain /mix/snow after midnight. Lows 30-38. West wind increasing to 10-20mph and gusty. Little to no accumulation. 40% chance for rain/ a wintry mix/snow
THURSDAY...Early snow/mix chances will taper off through the morning followed by skies beginning to clear out and winds becoming very gusty. Highs 41-48. NW wind 20-30 G40. 20% chance for AM snow.
THURSDAY NIGHT...Increasing clouds followed by rising chances for scattered snow. Lows 22-28. West/NE winds 2-10mph.
FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy skies with continued snow showers ending during the afternoon & evening.Highs 30-37. NE wind 2-12mph. 60% chance for snow.
FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy skies with some clearing and developing fog. Freezing fog may be possible. Lows 16-22. Light NE wind.
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